2071 replies to this topic

[laststate2havecarry]

So when do things start happening on the Shephard Moore case at the 7th Circuit level?  I am unaware of where things go from here and when. Can anyone enlighten me on what is expected to happen and when?

[TyGuy]

Friday June 8 th!

[Gray Peterson]

A 3 Judge Panel of the 7th Circuit Court of appeals will be hearing the Shepard/Moore case this Friday.    Under the PI schedule that's in the 7th Circuit, the "April 2012 sitting" of the court, the last day of that is August 8th, which is why I keep saying that date.

Then, the loser of either case has the option to appeal directly to the US Supreme Court with a cert petition.  If they accept the cert, which is considered a certainty if the we lose (and less so if the state loses and cert petitions), we'll have a decision by 6/24/2013.

[Howard Roark]

Gray, are you going to Buca Di Beppo's restaurant in Lombard, Illannoy on Friday nite?  Would be nice to have you join us.

[Gray Peterson]

Howard Roark, on 03 June 2012 - 10:44 PM, said:

Gray, are you going to Buca Di Beppo's restaurant in Lombard, Illannoy on Friday nite?  Would be nice to have you join us.

'fraid not.  I live in Seattle metro area so I can't attend.  If I had Friday off, I would have flown out to Chicago myself.

[Chiburbian]

To save me the trouble of looking it up, can someone tell me where the oral arguments will be held and what time?  Is the public allowed to attend?  To me it is worth taking a day off of work to experience.

Edited by Chiburbian, 04 June 2012 - 04:18 AM.

[bob]

There are two good scenarios that I see.

1. We lose, we appeal, and SCOTUS takes the case.

2. We win, the state appeals, and SCOTUS takes the case.

Worst case. We win, but only on open carry and the state does not appeal. If I were the other side and we were to win only on OC, I might well accept that and than continue to block LTC, just out of spite if nothing else. We would still not be legally able to carry in a car, or any public space. And there is no guarantee that whatever limited OC movement might come about would change the dynamic much.

The more I think about it the more I think that this is a likely situation. SCOTUS has been fairly clear that concealed carry has a lower degree of protection (if any) than does OC.

I still think a few years down the road after a decision that we get LTC anyway, just from momentum if nothing else.

[Tvandermyde]

Bob -- this is thebestand fastest case that could go to SCOTUS. However, we could win the appeal, I think they will punt and not give us a direct win. They could then remand the case to the lower cour like Ezell and we get bogged down in the district court.

[output]

Tvandermyde, on 04 June 2012 - 07:28 AM, said:

They could then remand the case to the lower cour like Ezell and we get bogged down in the district court.

I hope that doesn't happen.

Edited by output, 04 June 2012 - 07:33 AM.

[Danielm60660]

Todd, what would we consider a punt? How much of a non-decision decision could they make out of the very simple question we are asking?
DM

[Tvandermyde]

Something akin to we don't have enough guidance on the issue and if the Supremes say the right goes beyond the home then they need to say so more clearly. Somehting akin to the 4th district ruling.

[skottieusa]

Exactly what I expect since both lower courts said this.  They complained the supreme court wasn't specific enough or at least plain enough in its language in Heller. Good, SCOTUS will be very clear this time on this very specific issue  (2nd amendment extends past your doorstep just like speech, religion, pursuit of happiness, etc) and everyone in the U.S. will benefit.  Just like Heller and McDonald. The ban ends in a year or less!!

[Davey]

skottieusa, on 04 June 2012 - 08:56 AM, said:

Exactly what I expect since both lower courts said this.  They complained the supreme court wasn't specific enough or at least plain enough in its language in Heller. Good, SCOTUS will be very clear this time on this very specific issue  (2nd amendment extends past your doorstep just like speech, religion, pursuit of happiness, etc) and everyone in the U.S. will benefit.  Just like Heller and McDonald. The ban ends in a year or less!!

This scenario is why it's important we get Obama the hell out of the oval office.  He will nominate another Sotomayor or Kagan.

Edited by Davey, 04 June 2012 - 10:08 AM.

[mstrat]

Is there a possibility that this will be remanded without an order for injunction?
i.e. Can the 7th send it back down and set us back a few more years by requiring another trial or whatever (similar to what happened in Wilson) ?

On a side-note, how can these courts cop out with regard to ruling on the constitutionality of legislation?  It's cowardly.
"Big daddy SCOTUS didn't tell us the answer, so we don't know." Pathetic.  The defense of our liberties in this country on nearly every front has faltered, and nearly collapse. We're a nation of cowards.

[xbaltzx]

Chiburbian, on 04 June 2012 - 04:17 AM, said:

To save me the trouble of looking it up, can someone tell me where the oral arguments will be held and what time?  Is the public allowed to attend?  To me it is worth taking a day off of work to experience.

I would like to attend the arguments: What time on Friday? Same building as the McDonald orals?

[Buzzard]

Gray Peterson, on 03 June 2012 - 10:30 PM, said:

A 3 Judge Panel of the 7th Circuit Court of appeals will be hearing the Shepard/Moore case this Friday. Under the PI schedule that's in the 7th Circuit, the "April 2012 sitting" of the court, the last day of that is August 8th, which is why I keep saying that date. Then, the loser of either case has the option to appeal directly to the US Supreme Court with a cert petition. If they accept the cert, which is considered a certainty if the we lose (and less so if the state loses and cert petitions), we'll have a decision by 6/24/2013.

Thank you Gray, for one of the clearest explanations of the possible series of events we could expect, that I have read thus far. It would then seem, that if Obama does win re-election, that there wouldn't be enough time for a newly seated SCOTUS justice to be hearing the case. Do you agree?

[GarandFan]

laststate2havecarry, on 03 June 2012 - 09:50 PM, said:

So when do things start happening on the Shephard Moore case at the 7th Circuit level?  I am unaware of where things go from here and when. Can anyone enlighten me on what is expected to happen and when?

If anyone is interested in a "one thread stop" for this issue ... please see here:  http://illinoiscarry...60

[bob]

Tvandermyde, on 04 June 2012 - 07:28 AM, said:

Bob -- this is thebestand fastest case that could go to SCOTUS. However, we could win the appeal, I think they will punt and not give us a direct win. They could then remand the case to the lower cour like Ezell and we get bogged down in the district court.

I don't disagree with you on any of that.

Predicting what any court will do with a hot button type issue like this is fraught with great uncertainty. No one knows until there is a ruling. And even then there is no certainty as to what the ruling means in any practical way.

I only mentioned what I thought were the two best things that could happen and the worst. Getting sent back is somewhere between best and worst as far as I am concerned.

People seem to forget what actually happened to date in DC after Heller and in Chicago after McDonald. While things improved in a limited way, there are still 5 or 10 court cases to go before they are really settled. It is still restricted enough in both places that very few people can afford the time and expense to go through the roadblocks deliberately put up by those cities.

[bob]

skottieusa, on 04 June 2012 - 08:56 AM, said:

Exactly what I expect since both lower courts said this.  They complained the supreme court wasn't specific enough or at least plain enough in its language in Heller. Good, SCOTUS will be very clear this time on this very specific issue  (2nd amendment extends past your doorstep just like speech, religion, pursuit of happiness, etc) and everyone in the U.S. will benefit.  Just like Heller and McDonald. The ban ends in a year or less!!

I would like to think so as well. but, what makes you think there will be 5 votes on the current SCOTUS to make that happen? It is pretty obvious to us what way they should rule, but may not be so obvious to them. I could see a 5/4 split against us this time. I would not like it, but it is not outside the realm of reasonably possible things that could happen.

[Ranger]

Obama - election:  Yes.  This next presidential election is critical for SCOTUS and our second amendment rights.

5-4 split.  Yes.  I don't think we can assume it would go our way.  I would hope it would based upon Heller and McDonald; but I worry that the outcome isn't assurred otherwise those rulings might have been stronger.

[kurt555gs]

I think our opponents are hoping we don't catch on to the newest attack that the Second Amendment can be limited to "inside the home". I do not think this was a fluke, but a carefully laid out strategy.  Why not? The first and forth amendments have mostly been limited there. Why not the Second. I think this tactic comes from "on high" and has been passed down to the Federal judiciary throughout.

[Drylok]

kurt555gs, on 07 June 2012 - 09:14 AM, said:

I think our opponents are hoping we don't catch on to the newest attack that the Second Amendment can be limited to "inside the home". I do not think this was a fluke, but a carefully laid out strategy. Why not? The first and forth amendments have mostly been limited there. Why not the Second. I think this tactic comes from "on high" and has been passed down to the Federal judiciary throughout.

The 3rd and 4th are limited to the home because the word home is actually in the amendment whereas in the 2nd it does not appear thus it is not limited to it.

[lee n. field]

bob, on 04 June 2012 - 05:50 AM, said:

Worst case. We win, but only on open carry and the state does not appeal. If I were the other side and we were to win only on OC, I might well accept that and than continue to block LTC, just out of spite if nothing else. We would still not be legally able to carry in a car, or any public space. And there is no guarantee that whatever limited OC movement might come about would change the dynamic much.

The more I think about it the more I think that this is a likely situation. SCOTUS has been fairly clear that concealed carry has a lower degree of protection (if any) than does OC.

That's OK.  That's what happened in Ohio and Wisconsin.  Open carry is decreed OK, and people actually start to open carry.  Teh Panics!, and suddenly concealed doesn't seem so bad.

[C0untZer0]

Woo Hoo !!!

I can't wait until tomorrow!

This is almost as exiting as waiting for SHOTshow 2012...

[Chiburbian]

On the train now.  Anyplace nearby you all want to meet for breakfast?

[Xwing]

I just don't see an Illinois-based court ruling in our favor.  But have high hopes for the appeal...  Hopefully Obama won't have the opportunity to remake the court before it is heard.

[GarandFan]

Xwing, on 08 June 2012 - 06:23 AM, said:

I just don't see an Illinois-based court ruling in our favor.

You don't see it because the case hasn't even been argued yet!     Today sometime after 0900!

[Chiburbian]

I will hang out near Ogilvie till about 0800.  After that I am going to Lou Mitchels on Jackson.  Just South west of Ogilvie.  Good diner, fast service (usually).

South of Union and Ogilvie to Jackson.  Head West. (right)

219 S Dearborn

If there are any other preferences let me know.

Edit: Due to abolts comment, heading directly to court building.

Edited by Chiburbian, 08 June 2012 - 06:47 AM.

[GarandFan]

Does anyone know whether BOTH Alan Gura (Moore) and Charles Cooper (Shepard) will present arguments?  I kind of expect that, because they each filed briefs.

Remember Shepard was a case supported by NRA and ISRA.  Moore was a case supported by SAF and Illinois Carry.  And from reading both of "our" briefs ... it seems clear they were working together on this!

[abolt243]

Just a reminder to those attending, today's session starts at 9:00, a departure from their usual, advertised 9:30 start time.  I'm not familiar with protocol or etiquette of this court, but I'm guessing it would be best to be inside the courtroom and in your seat well before court is called to order at 9:00.

We want to put our best foot forward as gun owners/second amendment supporters.  As soon as possible and proper, please let those of us stuck in our normal daytime activities know what the heck is going on!!

AB