Ranger

I hope; but history has shown it to be an effective strategy. I suspect it will work in many cases. Democrats do too otherwise they wouldn't be spending the tens (hundreds?) of millions they are / have been on boosting certain GOP candidates.

I used to follow capitalfax. They leaned left back then and have only gotten more radical left as time progressed. I've tried to post factual information there and had it deleted or not post before. I don't bother often any more. We can only change the minds of those open to logic.

Well... I vowed to avoid political posts / websites for a while; but... couldn't do it. Saw where the Democrats have spent big in some other republican primaries too to get the candidate they wanted to run against in the general. It will probably work well, may enable them to keep their majorities, and frustrates the bejeebers out of me.

They know this is unlikely to withstand SCOTUS; but believe it will help them win votes and keep majorities this fall. I hope they are wrong abou tthat.

Overall, would it be better for the girl to have that abortion or for the girl to have never been raped? If you think the later, then you should also probably note that the rapist was in the U.S.A. illegally and consider which political party tacitly encourages illegal immigration and occupation before going far down that road... As to the clean air, clean water, etc... There is a balance point with everything. The EPA's interpretations related to Waters of The U.S. were way too far reaching. Essentially, they were trying to control a huge amount of land within the U.S. As a pond owner and land owner, I am a great steward of the land. I don't need a bureaucrat with little knowledge and no skin in the game telling me how to best utilize my land or requiring thousand's of dollars worth of consultant fees and permits to do something on it. The group over on pondboss.com are huge advocates of taking care of their ponds and environments and huge opponents of waters of the US / EPA overreach. As to healthcare... There are certainly cases where an individual develops health issues through no fault of their own. I am very empathetic to them and do not object to some of the taxes I pay helping them. On the other hand, there are also a number of individuals who bear great responsibility for their health issues - whether that is from heavy smoking / drinking / drug use / etc. - and have never worked a real job in their life. I feel far less compelled to pay taxes to assist them. Facebook and Twitter shape / censor / distort public perception and discussion. Social media companies were given protections that print media doesn't have at one point to help boost a growing area. The time has passed for the social media companies to follow the same guidance. Either they censor and face liability or they don't censor based upon a clear bias and continue to enjoy the immunity.

You definitely can't blame people for buying guns for protection. My question is given these numbers and the assumption that a decent percentage of these are first time buyers, how can the politicians who are pushing woke agendas / defund the police / no cash bail / etc. still be polling so well? Mind boggling and frustrating to me. Is the percentage of the population who are that stupid / brain washed really that large? Guess we might find out with the next election.

Thought it might be of interest to post links to some of the more prominent election projection websites so we could have them in one location. What some project will make us feel better while others will cause us anxiety and disbelief. I think most show the Republicans taking control of the House. Many show the Senate as a toss up. On the 2024 Presidential race, some show Biden / Harris / Newsome polling well against Trump / Desantis / Cruz / etc. That should cause all of us angst and instill a desire to do whatever we can to influence it. If you track some of the political stuff, you'll have read that Democrats were very active in the Republican primaries in many states this time. They were generally pretty successful in increasing the odds for Democrats winning in the general by pushing Republican candidates in the primaries who are less likely to get elected in the general election. Very smart for Democrats. Very frustrating for Republicans. It is what it is. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ https://www.racetothewh.com/ https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/2022/ https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election-predictions/ https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/ https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-outlook-for-the-2022-senate-elections-a-state-by-state-analysis/ https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Congress_elections,_2022 https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6874/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2022-election

2A4Cook has an excellent point. Bailey would need numbers not percentages. That northeast corner of the state that Bailey called a ****hole has a whole lot of numbers. https://www.cochranshow.com/podcast/the-nominee-the-chancellor-and-the-ceo With a very low turnout in heavily democrat areas (possibly due to far fewer real races on the democrat side and to democrats switching in the primary to vote for Bailey to ensure he is the candidate), almost as many people voted for JB as voted for all the Republican candidates combined. Although Bailey / DeVore both have pretty widespread support among republicans, I think they are going to get absolutely creamed in the general. Who has and is willing to spend the money to support either that Pritzker has / will spend on his own behalf? Griffen showed what he thought when he announced that Citadel was moving from Chicago to Miami. Of perhaps more concern... I noticed that the bets (odds) related to republicans taking control of the US House and US Senate each dropped pretty significantly (although still favorable) on a betting site from when I looked at it right before the primary. I haven't paid attention to primary races or anything anywhere else. Don't know if that is related to primary race winners, SCOTUS rulings, the Jan 6th coverage, or what. I still think the odds are good unless the Republicans blow it; but am also sure that the Republican party can blow it as I've seen it over and over. If it happens, I think Trump bashing Desantis / intraparty fighting will play a role in it. Think I'll stop reading / visiting political sites for a while to minimize frustration for a while. My wife stopped watching the news after the last Presidential election (she was / is very disappointed with results) and it has probably helped her avoid some frustration.

I think political strategists will study the Illinois Governor and Attorney General races and try to emulate the Democrat's strategy for years. It was masterful. Get your opponents to select the candidates with the least chance of beating you. It worked. I bet they already have the hit pieces against Bailey and DeVore already polished up and ready for distribution when the timing is optimal. They were easy enough to find and craft. I saw on one betting sight this morning that JB's odds are now at 94% up from 85%.

Seems like now is the time to do some spanking though.

I thought so too; but have heard they could never be certain of outcome until Amy was appointed so better to delay and defer rather than risk bad ruling.

Results like I'm seeing tonight are what makes me worry about Republicans messing up and blowing a great opportunity in the general for control of the US House & Senate.

No. Not really. 😞

Looking at early republican primary results, it looks like a great night for Pritzker.

Interested in rulings on the four cases TexasGrillChef references...

So... What is required in those states like New York where they claim it changes nothing? Does a private citizen now need to sue in court for damages, get another ruling, or what, if anything, is needed to get those actions prohibited by this ruling nullified? Also, can a citizen who was prosecuted in those states based upon an unconstitutional restriction now appeal to get their record expunged, reimbursement of attorney fees, and damages?

I like Alito's response too. :-)

Sounds like it is a very positive step in the right direction; but that we'll need additional rulings and / or congressional action to get us where we need to be. Constitional carry nationwide and no regulations fees on noise reduction devices.

I imagine this will happen in reverse in Illinois where democrats will vote for Bailey in the primary so Pritzker will win more easily in the general. We'll see. https://dnyuz.com/2022/06/22/in-boeberts-district-as-elsewhere-democrats-surge-into-g-o-p-primary/

Any predictions?

SCOTUSblog @SCOTUSblog NEW: The Supreme Court will issue more opinions next TUESDAY and THURSDAY. Eighteen cases remain to be decided, including cases on abortion, guns, climate change, and religion in schools. 12:32 PM · Jun 16, 2022·Twitter Web App

No offense; but I wouldn't trust Tom Devore. Do some searches and learn more about him before you vote. Ultimately, it won't matter as he won't have a chance in the general if he wins the primary anyway. I know several very strong conservatives and pro 2nd amendment folks who would either not vote or vote for the dem vs. voting for devore if it comes to that.

Someone with some influence should be trying to get some prominent far left individuals to run as green party candidates for governor to siphon those votes away from Pritzker in the general.

I understand and it sucks; but sometimes we just have to be pragmatic. I think Richard Nixon used to have a term called realpolitics or something like that. Basically, it referred to not what you ideally wanted; but what was realistically possible as close to what you want. I'd love to have a Governor who would do a, b, c; but I might be smarter to support the candidate who will do b, c, d if the abc candidate would never get elected and the bcd candidate might as opposed to just wasting a vote and conceding to x,y,z so I can feel good about supporting who I might really want. https://millercenter.org/president/nixon/impact-and-legacy

Picture this... you have a chance to play a one on one game of basketball. Full court. First one to 10 points wins a billion dollars. Your opponent will either be Michael Jordan in his prime or Rosie ODonnell. Would you like to be able to pick which one you're competing against? What would that option be worth to you? Probably pretty darn close to a billion dollars... Several years ago, Claire McCaskill ran in Missouri. It was an uphill battle and there was only one guy on the Republican side whom she had a realistic chance to beat. Her campaign (and the democratic party) reportedly spent over $1,000,000 helping the republican candidate they wanted for an opponent win the primary. It worked. Claire cruised to an easy win. https://apnews.com/article/elections-campaigns-senate-elections-missouri-claire-mccaskill-094722b44bdb42bdb4f5387b2babc6be If Pritzker and the democrats can spend $10 - $15 million in the primary helping ensure their opponent is the one most easily beaten and avoid having to spend even more in a general election against someone with even more money (Griffin), why wouldn't they? The flyers they are sending out attacking Bailey as being too conservative are a twofer. They increase the likelihood of Bailey winning the primary (if he's too conservative for democrats he's probably perfect for Republicans) and decrease the likelihood of Bailey winning the general (how well will advocating separation Chicago all those comments and others play with women moderates and most folks in the northeast region of our state). Win. Win. For them. Not us.