ISP Statistical Analysis- July, 2021 Processing Data- CCL, FOID, and NICS

[Molly B.]

Based on the release of the ISP July, 2021 processing activity

https://isp.illinois.gov/Foid/Statistics

·  FOID/ CCL backlog Analysis

·  National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) Illinois State Police data analysis

Some quick notes on the overall analysis:

• For the last two months the estimated FOID renewal backlog has increased.

• A comparison between July, 2021 and July 2020 only shows an increase in FOID (new and renewal), CCL new, and FTIP processing of only 3.2%. This may not correlate with the projected increases in productivity and staffing made since July, 2020.

• In July, 2021, the ISP recorded a record 357,000 NICS New Permit inquiries

• Illinois maintains its lead in NICS inquiries by submitting (2021 year to date) over 26% of all NICS inquiries.

A summary of the backlog activity is:

Analysis for Jul, 2021	New Aps /  Trans Received			Processed			Estimated Backlog			Notes:
	Current Month	Prior Month	% Change	Current Month	Prior Month	% Change	Current Month	Prior Month	% Change
FOID New Applications	11,522	12,794	(9.9)	16,178	24,145	(33.0)	83,630	88,286	(5.3)
FOID Renewal Applications	12,683	13,961	(9.2)	10,436	12,871	(18.9)	58,951	56,704	4.0
CCL New Applications	3,479	4,142	(16.0)	9,362	8,170	14.6	15,830	20,337	(22.2)
CCL Renewal Applications	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	Not reported by ISP
FTIPS Transactions	34,345	35,019	(1.9)	34,345	35,019	(1.9)	-	-	-
Portfolio	62,029	65,916	(5.9)	70,321	80,205	(12.3)	158,411	165,327	(4.2)

 

A comparison of activity between this year and last year:

Analysis for Jul, 2021 Compared to Jul, 2020	New Aps /  Trans Received			Processed			Notes:
	Current Month	Current Month Prior Yr.	% Change	Current Month	Current Month Prior Yr.	% Change
FOID New Applications	11,522	35,817	(67.8)	16,178	16,482	(1.8)
FOID Renewal Applications	12,683	14,639	(13.4)	10,436	2,111	394.4
CCL New Applications	3,479	8,087	(57.0)	9,362	3,650	156.5
CCL Renewal Applications	-	-	-	-	-	-	Not reported by ISP
FTIPS Transactions	34,345	45,875	(25.1)	34,345	45,875	(25.1)
Portfolio	62,029	104,418	(40.6)	70,321	68,118	3.2

 

In an effort to reconcile the backlog calculated in the analysis and what the ISP calculates, and occasionally publishes as a backlog, a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request was submitted to the ISP relating to the backlogs. The ISP responded noting that the total FOID backlog (open processing greater than 30 days since receipt) of 165,534 as of April, 30, 2021. In the analysis, the total calculated backlog is 168,409 as of April 30, 2021. ISP did not break the backlog between New and Renewal applications. As the difference of 2,875 is just 1.71%  of the calculated backlog, the difference can be viewed as immaterial and a validation of the backlog calculation methodology. Until the ISP can break out the backlog between new and renewal applications, due to the immaterial nature of the difference, an adjustment will not be made to the backlog in this analysis.

 

Average Processing Time

Days (and hours) to process were not available for the month of June, 2021. Changes between May, 2021 and July, 2021 are:

	Jul, 2021	May, 2021	Difference	% Change
New FOID application Average Processing Time (Days)	188.95	206.84	(17.89)	(8.65)
Renewal FOID application Average Processing Time (Days)	143.85	218.20	(74.35)	(34.07)
New Non-Fingerprint CCL Average Processing Time (Days)	143.74	152.10	(8.36)	(5.50)
New Fingerprint CCL Average Processing Time (Days)	131.79	182.63	(50.84)	(27.84)
FTIP Average Processing Time (Hours)	23.30	13.00	10.30	79.23

 

National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) Illinois State Police data analysis

Included is an analysis of ISP related NICS data. A summary of activity:

	Current Month to Prior Month			Month- Current Year to Prior Year			YTD- Current Year to Prior Year
NICS Analysis for Jul-2021	Month (07-2021)	Month (06-2021)	% Change	Month 07-2021	Month 07-2020	% Change	YTD 07-2021	YTD 07-2020	% Change
New Applications- IL	357,709	14,242	2,411.6	357,709	42,167	748.3	486,846	237,822	104.7
Transfers- IL	55,887	34,744	60.9	55,887	45,463	22.9	317,816	322,623	(1.5)
Recheck- IL	243,182	715,898	(66.0)	243,182	626,794	(61.2)	5,902,820	4,032,004	46.4
Total	656,778	764,884	(14.1)	656,778	714,424	(8.1)	6,707,482	4,592,449	46.1

 

 

	Jul-2021
NICS Analysis for Jul-2021	IL Only	All NICS	IL as a % of All NICS
Prior Month	764,884	3,042,379	25.14
Current Month	656,778	2,860,476	22.96
Current Month YTD	6,707,482	24,923,204	26.91
YTD Prior Year (Jul-2020)	4,592,449	22,606,817	20.31

[Plinkermostly]

     (edit)

[onastring]

The new automated system is skewing the average processing times. Look at the increased backlog of FOID renewals vs the decrease in FOID renewal processing time. Would be nice to see the median processing time.