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press1280

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Everything posted by press1280

  1. I wouldn't hold your breath yet. I'm sure this will be appealed en banc and the 4th Circuit is still pretty hostile.
  2. Bridges’ license was suspended as a result of a medical reaction to prescribed medication, resulting in a hospital stay of 72 hours, according to the suit. Say what????? They're now taking away FOID cards for non-mental medical issues????
  3. There’s a good chance this question will be answered in the upcoming SCOTUS case
  4. Somewhat surprised. I would have thought this case would be held and sent back to the appeals court after NYSRPA is decided. A clear signal the court wants nothing to do with any criminal cases right now.
  5. This one will almost certainly go to conference and will not be heard from again until NYSRPA is decided.
  6. The narrower ruling would be if Roberts joins the majority to make it 6-3. If he’s in the dissent then he cannot “shape” the opinion.
  7. The law isn't tailored toward the goal which is guns out of the hands of people who are a danger to themselves and others. VCR tape counterfeiting isn't a physical danger to anyone.
  8. Too early to say. I'll point out that the NYSRPA case that was granted cert last year got it after the 2nd re-list and we aren't there yet. The other scenario is a per curiam where they get 6 votes (at least) and decide the case without even going to oral arguments, see Caetano.
  9. It's been rescheduled for conference April 1. Actually re-listed. There's a difference. Re-listed cases means there's some level of interest.
  10. May issue only. Can't get the licensing scheme knocked down if SCOTUS wont even strike down may issue. It would really depend on how they rule, generally they will rule narrowly, but this is a civil rights issue that lower courts and governments have obviously been ignoring since Heller, so it would not surprise me to see the Supreme Court get out the white glove and slap the lower courts into compliance. I would like to see them put on the boxing gloves and knock it out of the park, but any forward progress is progress. The lower courts have said on one hand the right doesn't end when you leave your home yet it can somehow be rationed only to people who show a particular "need" for it. It's inconsistent with any other fundamental right as rights are not supposed to be held in a hierarchy where some are worth more than others.
  11. May issue only. Can't get the licensing scheme knocked down if SCOTUS wont even strike down may issue.
  12. https://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docket/docketfiles/html/public/20-843.html I didn't see a thread for this case. It's at SCOTUS right now with defendant's response due Monday the 22nd (and they've already had 1 extension). So it looks like we may get the new SCOTUS' answer on whether to take up a may-issue case in the next month or two. This is an NRA funded challenge with Paul Clement at the helm.
  13. This is the 3rd wave of public carry cases (SAF has also filed in MD & NYC). Remember these were filed in every circuit court right after Heller/McDonald and again after Kavanaugh replaced Kennedy on SCOTUS. Obviously now with ACB replacing RBG, the time could be no better than now. The 2nd wave of cases took roughly a year from initial filing to reaching SCOTUS so I'd say a good chance of being heard and decided by June 2022.
  14. I like that Biden has said that he'll form a bipartisan commission. That takes the pressure off of him and he knows that such a move to change the makeup of SCOTUS shouldn't be taken lightly. There's really no legitimate reason to expand the court other than for one party to expand their influence, which would lead the other party to do the same... Court appointments are why I voted for Trump. He's made me grit my teeth and shake my head a lot over the last four years, but I'm grateful for his court appointments, we're going to need them. I would compare the polls to what the final totals were in 2016. A few points either way you'd expect, but I'm seeing some really crazy ones in non-competitive states where Biden is outperforming Obama and showing a 25 point swing from 2016.
  15. I think we're pretty much where we were in 2016. The swing states will pretty much all go the same way. Trump has the momentum right now, just like in 2016. So I see a similar result.
  16. Always wondered why discovery would be needed in a case like this, seems clear cut?
  17. Curious if there is a lawsuit in the works for a non-resident (preferably from a border state resident) to sue as they are effectively banned from carrying in IL? I would think this would be some easy, low hanging fruit.
  18. There's no evidence of this, and in fact because they also denied cert in Drake (where in NJ there's no doubt OCing a long gun in public is illegal with few exceptions), That leads me to believe that wasn't why cert was denied here.Perhaps they denied it because because obtaining a license to carry is as much of a privilege as getting a license to drive is. I think it's it's highly unlikely the court would pass on shall-issue because there's a licensing component involved. That would mean they should have passed on Heller since the license to own wasn't challenged. It's more likely the vote is so close neither side wants to stick their neck out on this, at least yet.
  19. There's no evidence of this, and in fact because they also denied cert in Drake (where in NJ there's no doubt OCing a long gun in public is illegal with few exceptions), That leads me to believe that wasn't why cert was denied here.
  20. I couldn't find OC of a long gun mentioned in the opinion, I know AG Gansler did throw it out there, more or less to give the court an out. It didn't matter though, they were prepared to rule for MD with whatever BS they could dream up.
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