Matt B

A loss at the district court. Suppressors ruled as not arms within the 2A. Another disappointing ruling this week from a Trump nominated judge.

I don’t know how much hope I hold for swaying Easterbrook or St Eve, but this certainly helps raise the profile of the case for future en banc or scotus consideration.

Extremely disappointed to see St Eve not dissent on this. Bodes poorly for the AWB case. Miss on a judicial pick from Trump.

You aren’t winning Easterbrook, but if St. Eve is on the panel we can hope she is swayed and pick up a 2-1 win.

That’s as close as you can get to a dream panel in the 7th I would think. I wonder if Sykes bumped Easterbrook off the panel..

Stayed for 30 days so no freedom weekend.

Correct, I struggle to see Easterbrook or Woods being swayed by Thomas’ dissent. Maybe it swings a potential future en banc vote? I think most rational people realize where this Supreme Court would land on "assault weapons" bans so the game here is now purely timing. How long can anti gun courts stall and hope for the composition of the court to change.

SCOTUS added three “cleanup conferences” for Wed-Fri this week. I would expect next steps on the Illinois cases to be finally decided at these conferences.

There was maybe a line or two reiterating that the 2a protects modern arms but nothing is overtly pointing to something that will lead to a GVR of the Illinois cases. Either way we hopefully find out Monday.

No I actually become more pessimistic the more we get relisted. It further bumps the odds someone is writing a dissent on the denial of cert. Friedman was relisted approx 7 times before it was denied with a dissent. Peruta went up for like 12 conferences before it was likewise denied with a dissent

No action taken in the orders today and the case has just been redistributed to the 6/6 conference. I continue to believe it is being held for a dissent or concurrence on the cert denial.

I struggle with why scotus would outright deny Bianchi if they were planning on granting cert in the Illinois cases… ditto if they felt Rahimi was going to answer some questions on hardware bans. Unfortunately I think a cert denial with a dissent is coming.

To my understanding, they can and will file a cert petition but I don’t believe their underlying case is finished with a final judgement in the 7th circuit. So that makes it much less likely scotus will take it. NAGR is making it seem like their case is final so maybe they know something I don’t but Mark Smith just released a video mentioning he thinks Duncan or Bianchi will get to scotus on a final judgement case before anything out of Illinois.

Washington Gun Law commenting on Bevis. To my understanding Bevis is not on final judgement with the lower courts so not sure if I fully agree with his assessment here that a cert petition on a final judgement case is imminent in Bevis.

The issue is.. these emergency motions are the only way to try to keep anti gun judges from stalling cases. Now there is absolutely no enforcement mechanism to keep cases moving. SCOTUS is clearly waiting for a case on final judgement and liberal judges can now just wait out the clock on Thomas and Alito. Look at Bianchi going on over a year waiting for an option on their AWB.