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Matt B

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  1. In today’s orders from Scotus, Cert was denied in this case. We must wait and hope for petitions coming from the other cases.
  2. Bianchi. It’s been waiting over a year for an opinion after being heard by a three judge panel in the 4th circuit. There’s some speculation it was immediately pulled en banc and that’s been the delay. If that is true, and the en banc panel comes out with a decision then that’s the final judgement case that would go up to scotus.
  3. To my understanding, they can and will file a cert petition but I don’t believe their underlying case is finished with a final judgement in the 7th circuit. So that makes it much less likely scotus will take it. NAGR is making it seem like their case is final so maybe they know something I don’t but Mark Smith just released a video mentioning he thinks Duncan or Bianchi will get to scotus on a final judgement case before anything out of Illinois.
  4. Washington Gun Law commenting on Bevis. To my understanding Bevis is not on final judgement with the lower courts so not sure if I fully agree with his assessment here that a cert petition on a final judgement case is imminent in Bevis.
  5. The issue is.. these emergency motions are the only way to try to keep anti gun judges from stalling cases. Now there is absolutely no enforcement mechanism to keep cases moving. SCOTUS is clearly waiting for a case on final judgement and liberal judges can now just wait out the clock on Thomas and Alito. Look at Bianchi going on over a year waiting for an option on their AWB.
  6. I absolutely agree and suspect that the reason that no en banc vote was called (despite clearly having some judges sympathetic to our arguments) and that McGlynn is telegraphing he won’t block registration is that the 2a friendly judges are standing by to leave it up to SCOTUS to pause the law as they should. If scotus doesn’t act now they are repeating the mistakes of Heller and will be walked over again by the lower courts.
  7. Mark Smith lays out the likely outcome here which is pretty depressing, where (assuming scotus doesn’t step in on the emergency motion) we are looking at the state now trying to drag proceedings out over months and years trying to wait this court out.
  8. En banc petition is denied by 7CA Maybe this boosts the odds SCOTUS reinstates the injunction?
  9. I guess if scotus denies the Bevis motion purely because that case is not before that court yet on final judgement, this gives them another vehicle to reinstate the injunction.
  10. Mark Smith just released a video summarizing the briefs to SCOTUS for/against reinstating the stay. He unfortunately still feels it’s an uphill battle having SCOTUS reinstate the stay at this stage.
  11. Apologies for the vague link. Yeah basically Caulkins is submitting new info to scotus this week regarding additional money provided to the two IL Supreme Court judges not previously known or disclosed by the judges in question.
  12. Mark doesn’t touch on the 2a or equal protection claims also raised by the cert petition. Maybe he feels that the conservative justices not being on board with Caperton is enough to sink the petition.
  13. Washington Gun Law interviews Dudley Brown who interestingly brings up that his folks in NAGR think it very possible the Caulkins cert petition could somehow be combined or linked with this case and provide a vehicle for resolving these gun bans. Trying hard to stay realistic with the odds but I would love if scotus will take the opportunity they have here to set the courts straight on semi auto bans.
  14. Yup. This will prod the 7th into granting the en banc review but have little other impact. I suppose if the plaintiffs feel the en banc is 50/50 odds of a favorable decision then could be anyone’s game and maybe this pays off.
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